In constructing the fade column, the writer acknowledges two yearly facts of life: not offering fades on late-round players and feeling a sense of melancholy when predicting possible disappointments for star players. The article emphasizes that fantasy baseball is a game of opinions, and while the writer’s shy-away players may differ from others’ targets, it is essential to analyze each player’s context carefully.
The first player discussed is Jacob deGrom, a pitcher for the Texas Rangers. Despite his remarkable talent and past successes, including two Cy Young seasons, deGrom’s recent injury history, including two Tommy John surgeries and ongoing physical issues, raises concerns about his future performance and durability as he enters his age-37 season. The writer expresses hope for deGrom’s success but remains pragmatic about his fantasy value, cautioning against selecting him with a high Yahoo ADP.
The article also highlights Ronald Acuña Jr., an outfielder for the Atlanta Braves, who is recovering from his second ACL tear and plans to take it easy on the bases upon his return. The writer advises treating Acuña as an injured player due to his health concerns, despite his offensive potential, and suggests approaching his fantasy draft position with caution.
Mike Trout, an outfielder for the Los Angeles Angels, is moving to right field to reduce wear and tear on his body, but the writer questions why Trout is not transitioned to a full-time designated hitter given his injury history and decreasing playing time in recent years. Trout’s declining performance and similar player profiles at a lower cost make him a risky fantasy pick with an ADP inside the top 100.
Willy Adames, a shortstop for the San Francisco Giants, is coming off a career year but faces challenges in transitioning to a new team and ballpark, potentially leading to a regression in his performance. Adames’ decreased stolen bases and fortunate RBI opportunities from the previous season make him a risky fantasy investment, especially considering his high draft position.
Xander Bogaerts, a second baseman/shortstop for the San Diego Padres, signed a lucrative contract after leaving the Boston Red Sox, but the writer questions the long-term implications of the deal. Bogaerts’ performance may not justify his substantial contract, and his fantasy value could decline as he adjusts to a new team and faces potential challenges in maintaining his previous level of play.
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